Quote:
Originally Posted by VALAIRIAN
The usual rule of thumb in this league is 50 points (I am sure that 49 is the highest anybody has been relegated with) so the logic would say 33 points (plus the -17 points, if that makes sense) would be enough! That means 2 more wins and Eric's plan has worked...........
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Unfortunately it doesn't make sense, unless Luton and Bournemouth are the two worst teams in the division, which they're not. The deductions just change the points they need to win to reach the safety point, i.e. 80 and 67 respectively. Bournemouth are on track to win 55 or so points on the field, which would mean they'd finish with 38 (but they seem to be improving); Luton might make 60 for 30.
So the safety mark may be pushed down a bit, but if we finish with 33, we're most unlikely to survive - and won't deserve to.